{"id":27679,"date":"2018-11-16T14:06:49","date_gmt":"2018-11-16T19:06:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/?p=27679"},"modified":"2022-03-16T10:02:55","modified_gmt":"2022-03-16T14:02:55","slug":"climate-change-causing-destructive-wetter-hurricanes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/climate-change-causing-destructive-wetter-hurricanes\/","title":{"rendered":"Climate Change Is Causing More Destructive, Wetter Hurricanes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Some of the most destructive, devastating hurricanes in recent years were <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/newscenter.lbl.gov\/2018\/11\/14\/climate-simulations-project-wetter-windier-hurricanes\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">intensified by climate change<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, researchers from <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the Department of Energy\u2019s Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">find. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Their supercomputer simulations proved that climate change increased the amount of rainfall in hurricanes Katrina, Irma and Maria by 5-10 percent. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And the future looks bleak. If humans don\u2019t slow down fossil fuel emissions, increased warming could cause hurricane rainfall to rise by 15-35 percent and boost hurricane wind speeds by up to 29 miles per hour. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;We&#8217;re already starting to see anthropogenic factors influencing tropical cyclone rainfall,&#8221; <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/eesa.lbl.gov\/profiles\/christina-marie-patricola\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Christina Patricola<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, a scientist in Berkeley Lab&#8217;s Earth and Environmental Sciences Area and lead author of the study, said in a statement. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;And our simulations strongly indicate that as time goes on we can expect to see even greater increases in rainfall,&#8221; she continued.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Four of the five <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/climate-change-impact-hurricanes\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">costliest hurricanes<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> in U.S. history occurred in the past six years. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">This research should serve as a wakeup call. If humans fail to switch to renewable energy, hurricanes will only become more destructive, deadly and expensive. <\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>The study<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The researchers ran high-resolution climate simulations of 15 tropical cyclones &#8212; or hurricanes, the term used in the Atlantic &#8212; that have occurred around the world in the past 10 years. They tested how the storms would react to different air and ocean temperatures, humidity and greenhouse gas concentrations. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The simulations used in this study are more trustworthy than past, observation-based techniques used to test the impact of climate change on hurricanes.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;It is difficult to unravel how climate change may be influencing tropical cyclones using observations alone because records before the satellite-era are incomplete and natural variability in tropical cyclones is large,&#8221; Patricola said in a statement.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-018-0673-2\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">study<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> was split into two parts. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the first, the researchers used the simulations to compare and contrast the same storm under different circumstances. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For example, the researchers modeled Hurricane Katrina in a pre-industrial climate and compared it to a model of the storm under current climate conditions. This way, they could determine how much of an impact climate change has had.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"Simulation of Hurricane Katrina at 3km resolution\" width=\"500\" height=\"375\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/B8ueAsLV-tY?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;You can certainly use your expert judgment in a better way after the fact,&#8221; <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/crd.lbl.gov\/departments\/computational-science\/ccmc\/staff\/staff-members\/michael-wehner\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Michael Wehner<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, an extreme weather expert in Berkeley Lab&#8217;s Computational Research Division and co-author of the study, said in a statement.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">&#8220;So you simulate the event in the world that was, followed by simulating a counterfactual storm in a world that might&#8217;ve been had humans not modified the climate system,&#8221; he continued. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">In the second part of the study, the researchers simulated hurricanes in three future scenarios of warming. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Average surface temperature has currently risen 1 degree Celsius since the pre-industrial era. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The third, most extreme, scenario simulates a world where warming has increased by 3-4 degrees Celsius. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The researchers found a strong correlation between increased temperature and more intense rainfall and wind speeds. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Although the study suggests a future of increased wind speeds, the hurricanes that were modeled in this study did not indicate any higher wind speed from current warming. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Additionally, the study was not designed to test whether hurricanes will become more frequent or move in different ways. <\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Some of the most destructive, devastating hurricanes in recent years were intensified by climate change, researchers from the Department of Energy\u2019s Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory find. Their supercomputer simulations proved that climate change increased the amount of rainfall in hurricanes Katrina, Irma and Maria by 5-10 percent. And the future looks bleak. If humans don\u2019t [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":32,"featured_media":27693,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[641,233,230,229],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27679","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-change","category-sustainable","category-news","category-lead-stories"],"aioseo_notices":[],"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":["https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/hurricane-1.png",830,533,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/hurricane-1-224x144.png",224,144,true],"medium":["https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/hurricane-1-300x193.png",300,193,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/hurricane-1.png",830,533,false],"large":["https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/hurricane-1.png",830,533,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/hurricane-1.png",830,533,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/hurricane-1.png",830,533,false]},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"Jackson Schroeder","author_link":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/author\/jackson-schroeder\/"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Some of the most destructive, devastating hurricanes in recent years were intensified by climate change, researchers from the Department of Energy\u2019s Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory find. Their supercomputer simulations proved that climate change increased the amount of rainfall in hurricanes Katrina, Irma and Maria by 5-10 percent. And the future looks bleak. If humans don\u2019t&hellip;","featured_media_src_url":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/hurricane-1.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27679","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/32"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27679"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27679\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27693"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tun.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}